The full breakdown
Which risks in a garment unit can the owner actually control? As of 22 Oct 2026, Mama's register lists 55 risks for a 400-worker Indian garment exporter: 45 start on your own floor and you can act on them; 10 start outside the gate, such as US tariffs, the rupee, export rebates and bank rates, and you can only prepare for them. Thirteen need action now, and 7 of those 13 are in your hands.
Last checked: 22 Oct 2026
By the Mama Editorial Team. Event costs are Mama's estimates for one assumed unit: 400 workers, ₹60 crore sales, ₹600 a day average wage, ₹3 lakh a day of contribution (₹25,000 per line-day), ₹8 crore of value at risk. Other numbers name their source. Not legal, tax or insurance advice.
Key takeaways
- 45 of the 55 risks start on your floor. Each has a sign you can see and a first move for this week.
- 10 risks start outside the gate. Tariffs, the rupee, RoSCTL, bank rates, buyers. You cannot stop them; forward cover, buyer mix, insurance and reserves decide what they cost.
- 13 risks sit in the Act now corner, and 7 are yours to fix. Heat on the sewing floor, a failed social audit, late fabric and trims, a line master leaving, festival churn, shade failures and the MSMED 15/45-day payment limit on job-worker bills.
- People leave every year. The Labour Bureau's separation rate for wearing apparel (NIC 141) was 11.94% in 2021-22, about 48 people a year in a 400-worker unit.
- Of the four worked events, a godown fire is the biggest hit, and much of it is uninsured. In the worked example it costs ₹84 lakh; the Bharat Laghu wording pays no wages while you are shut.
How to read the map
The map asks two questions about each risk: how often does it happen in a unit like yours (left to right), and what does one event cost (bottom to top)? That gives four corners:
- Act now: likely and costly. Start here.
- Insure and prepare: rare but costly, such as fire or flood. The money question is cover and reserves.
- Fix the process: frequent but smaller per event; the yearly total is not small.
- Watch: rare and small. Keep a checklist.
Colour shows the group, one of seven. A ring around a dot means the risk is outside your control: you prepare, you cannot prevent.
The map is not to scale: higher means costlier, but distance is a ranking, not rupees. Each risk's panel gives the ₹ range, the floor sign and the first move, and says "Mama's estimate" where no published frequency exists.
Other textile views: making more from the lines you already pay for and spending less on fabric, rework, overtime and energy.
Part 1: the 45 risks you can act on
The seven in Act now
Heat on the sewing floor (₹4–20 lakh a summer, Mama's estimate). A study of Indian factories, garment sewing included, found worker productivity falls by up to 4% for each degree above 27°C (Somanathan et al., Journal of Political Economy, 2021). Sign: efficiency drops after lunch from April to June. First move: measure floor temperature by line and add cooling and breaks where output falls most. More in heat stress on the factory floor.
A buyer social audit that puts orders on hold (₹1.5–56 lakh, Mama's estimate). The SLCP Impact Report 2025 found at least one legal non-compliance in 91% of assessed facilities worldwide, 10 on average (SLCP, 2025). Signs: overtime registers that don't match the gate, blocked exits. First move: read the corrective action plan within 48 hours, critical items first. See below and the top findings in Indian garment units.
Late fabric or trims idling lines (₹1–35 lakh, Mama's estimate). One line idle for four days costs ₹1 lakh of contribution; a shortage that forces a missed ex-factory date and air freight costs up to ₹35 lakh. Signs: lines loaded with a filler style, operators waiting for trims. First move: fabric, trims and approvals in-house seven days before a line starts, checked weekly.
A key line master leaves (₹5–15 lakh, Mama's estimate). See below. Sign: one person runs every changeover, with no deputy.
Festival churn (₹2–25 lakh, Mama's estimate). At about ₹34,000 per operator who does not come back after Diwali, Chhath or Pongal, 6 to 70 non-returners cost ₹2–24 lakh before late-shipment penalties. Signs: leave requests and advances piling up three weeks before. First move: list who is going with return dates, and plan orders around the dip. See festival churn on garment lines.
Wrong shade or shrinkage after bulk (₹2–50 lakh, Mama's estimate). The top of the range, ₹50 lakh, is a ₹57-lakh lot sold off at a discount. Signs: rolls from different dye lots mixed in one lay, no shrinkage test before cutting. First move: shade-band and shrinkage-test every fabric lot before cutting, and never mix dye lots in a lay.
Job-workers unpaid past the MSMED limit at 31 March (₹5–50 lakh, Mama's estimate). The MSMED Act limit is 15 days without a written agreement and at most 45 days with one. Since AY 2024-25, dues to micro and small suppliers unpaid past it are deductible only when paid, under s.43B(h), carried into the Income-tax Act 2025 (Budget 2023 memorandum). At ₹0.2–2 crore owed to embroidery, printing and washing job-workers and a 25% tax rate, ₹5–50 lakh of tax falls due a year early. First move: list job-workers and trims suppliers by Udyam status and pay micro and small dues before 31 March.
The other 38, by group
Fire and the night shift are in the next section.
People (11 more). Needle injuries, cutting-knife cuts, steam burns and falls on wet dyeing floors are frequent and cheap to prevent. Entanglement on unguarded knitting machines is rarer and costlier; SLCP found guards lacking in 27% of facilities (machine guarding). Overtime outside legal limits is SLCP's most common finding, at 52% of facilities (SLCP, 2025); see what auditors check on hours. Also: a senior mechanic leaving (breakdown response), contract operators whose wages land on you as principal employer (contract headcount), a flash stoppage over a piece-rate cut (telling workers and the union), a mishandled POSH complaint, and child or forced labour in subcontracted work.
Operations (7 more). Exits blocked by cartons and cut bundles in shipment week (exit monitoring), an electrical fire from lint on panels (panel room spec), a boiler or stenter fire (boiler house spec), sewing machines waiting for the mechanic, power cuts that stop a dyeing batch (power cuts and DG limits), fabric and trims pilferage (issued vs consumed) and a building failure. The last is the costliest on the map, up to ₹20 crore: Rana Plaza, an eight-storey garment building in Dhaka, collapsed on 24 April 2013, killing 1,134 people (ILO). Check the structure before adding a floor.
Quality (3 more). A failed final AQL at ₹1.2–3 lakh (the AQL cost), the end-line alteration loop (DHU cost), and a broken needle in a shipped garment, a critical defect for buyers: keep a signed broken-needle log.
Money (5 more). A chargeback or late-delivery discount, air freight at your own cost to save a vessel (the missed ex-factory date), a fire claim cut by the average clause (underinsurance explained), ransomware on the ERP and marker files in shipment week, and penal demand charges when presses and the stenter start together (demand charges).
Regulatory (7 more). A fire NOC lapsed on a multi-storey garment building (fire NOC), peak-season headcount above the number in your licence (licence renewal), a UK zero-duty claim refused on rules of origin (the India-UK deal), an invoice to a domestic brand stuck without an e-invoice IRN, a chemical test failure, a brand discount needing AD bank approval, and footage of women workers shared without control (DPDP and worker CCTV).
Environment (3 more). A pollution board closure of the dyeing or washing ETP, an OCEMS camera or flow feed going offline (ETP camera rules), and flood water soaking fabric and packed cartons kept on the godown floor.
The four the owner carries personally
Four floor risks land on the owner, not a department. Only the audit and the line master sit in Act now; fire and the night shift are rarer, but the owner answers for them.
Fire
BIS's code for cotton textile mills, IS 3079:1990, names electrical failure, too much fly (loose fibre) and hot processing sections among the main causes of fire. National counts have no garment row: NCRB's ADSI 2024, Table 1.12 lists 83 fires and 97 deaths in "Other Factories" in 2024. DGFASLI's Standard Reference Note 2022 counts 358 injuries in textiles (NIC 13 and 14) in 2019, 60 of them fatal.
The money is in the wording. The New India Bharat Laghu Udyam Suraksha wording waives underinsurance "upto 15%"; below 85% of value, "You will bear a proportionate share of the loss." It also excludes "loss of income or wages or earnings". The walk is in the 10-minute fire walk for garment units.
Buyer audit
Sedex says it "does not impose a pass/fail model within the SMETA audit" (Introduction to SMETA, Aug 2025); the buyer decides what happens to orders. DQS ranked the ten most frequent findings in its 2025 SMETA audits worldwide, without counts (DQS, 10 Jun 2026). First on the list: exits not all "properly marked and lighted". Others: missing needle guards, PPE not worn, first aid boxes, no evacuation plan, no mats at panels. Deadlines are "immediate, 30, 60 or 90 days".
Key people
The Labour Bureau's Indian Labour Statistics 2022-23 gives wearing apparel (NIC 141) a separation rate of 11.94% in 2021-22 (Table 6.4(a)) and absenteeism of 7.47% (Table 6.1(a)), about 30 people away on an average day in a 400-worker unit. Neither gives a rate for supervisors (checked 20 Oct 2026). See if your line master leaves after Diwali and the 20-minute key-person map.
Women on the night shift
In shipment week, packing runs past 7 p.m. Section 43 of the OSH Code, 2020 allows women to work "with their consent before 6 a.m. and beyond 7 p.m.", subject to conditions the appropriate government prescribes; for a factory, that is the state. Rule 83 of the Central OSH Rules, 2026 lists written consent, transport, a well-lit workplace with CCTV on the way to facilities, emergency numbers and POSH compliance; state rules may add more. See the national rules, state CCTV rules and textile night shifts.
One unit, four events: a worked ₹ example
Every line is Mama's assumption for the unit above, not a benchmark.
| Event (assumed) | How it adds up | Cost (₹ lakh) |
|---|---|---|
| Fire: 10-day stoppage | Wages 400 × ₹600 × 10 = 24.0; lost contribution ₹3 lakh × 10 = 30.0; ₹1 crore of stock insured at 70% of value, so 30.0 not paid | 84.0 |
| Buyer audit: orders held 60 days | Buyer is 30% of sales, about ₹2.96 crore held (₹18 crore × 60/365); 15% contribution = 44.4; follow-up audit 1.2 | 45.6 |
| Key person: line master leaves | 6 lines × 2 changeovers a month × 2 months × 1.5 extra line-days = 36 line-days × ₹25,000 = 9.0; hiring 1.0 | 10.0 |
| Night shift stopped for a month | 2 lines × ₹20,000 contribution a night × 26 nights | 10.4 |
The fire row assumes no business-interruption cover. No row includes a penalty.
Moves: what each fix costs and what it protects
| Move | ₹ effect (lakh, from example) | Cost (₹, assumed) | Payback | Source | Government support (checked 20 Oct 2026) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revalue fabric stock at its pre-season peak; keep sum insured at or above 85% | Avoids 30.0 shortfall | Extra premium ~40,000 a year | One event covers ~75 years of premium | Laghu Clause F | None found |
| Pre-audit fix of exits, needle guards, first aid, evacuation plan, panel mats | Avoids 45.6 order hold | 2,00,000–4,00,000 | First avoided hold | DQS 2025 SMETA findings | ZED lists "Occupational (Workplace) Safety" (guidelines 2022) |
| A trained deputy for each line master | Avoids 10.0 per departure | ₹3,000 a month × 6 = 2,16,000 a year | One departure pays for ~4.6 years | Labour Bureau ILS 2022-23 | None found |
| Night-shift checklist: consent, transport, lit routes, numbers, POSH | Keeps 10.4 a month | Transport ~1,00,000 a month | One month kept | OSH Code s.43; Central OSH Rules r.83 | None found |
| Ask the insurer about loss-of-profit or wages cover | Up to 54.0 | Insurer's quote | One event | Laghu exclusion | None found |
ZED's 2022 guidelines set a ₹10,000 Bronze fee with a 50% subsidy for medium enterprises, and print 31 March 2026 as the end of support; no extension notice was found on msme.gov.in (checked 20 Oct 2026). Confirm with your MSME-DFO in writing.
What the OSH Code says about penalties
| Situation in the OSH Code text | Section | Penalty in the text |
|---|---|---|
| Any contravention where no other penalty is set | s.94 | ₹2,00,000 to ₹3,00,000; ₹2,000 a day if it continues after conviction |
| Contravention of the Code, rules or an order regulating employment, including of women | s.97(1)–(2) | ₹50,000 to ₹1,00,000; on repeat (s.97(2)), up to 3 months, a fine up to ₹2,00,000, or both |
| Contravention resulting in death | s.103(1)(a) | Up to 2 years, a fine of not less than ₹5,00,000, or both |
| Contravention resulting in serious bodily injury | s.103(1)(b) | Up to 1 year, a fine of ₹2,00,000 to ₹4,00,000, or both |
Under the s.103 proviso, the court may direct at least 50% of the fine to the victim or the legal heirs. Which section applies to a given breach is for the inspector and the court; this table only quotes the text.
Part 2: the 10 risks you can only prepare for
No floor walk stops a tariff memo or a rate hike. You control how much of the hit lands on you: forward cover, buyer mix, insurance, reserves and scheme claims.
Six in Act now
US tariff shock (₹50–300 lakh a year, Mama's estimate). On 23 Jul 2026 the White House placed India in a 10% Section 301 tier (White House memo). If the US is 30% of sales and buyers ask you to share 3–10% of price, that is ₹54–180 lakh a year. Cushion: a tariff clause in US quotes and more UK and EU buyers.
RoSCTL rebate cut or lapse (₹15–135 lakh, Mama's estimate). RoSCTL now runs to 31 Dec 2026 at existing rates (PIB, 30 Sep 2026). At an assumed 3% of FOB on ₹45 crore of exports, a year is worth ₹135 lakh. Cushion: quote without the rebate and claim scrips promptly; see government support for textile units.
Rupee swing between costing and realisation (₹5–40 lakh, Mama's estimate). The RBI reference rate was ₹95.02 to the dollar on 16 Oct 2026 (RBI reference rate archive). On an assumed ₹11 crore of dollar receivables, a 3% move costs ₹33 lakh. Cushion: hedge confirmed orders and cost new styles at the forward rate, not spot.
Bank cuts drawing power or raises the rate (₹4–50 lakh, Mama's estimate). The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50% on 7 Oct 2026 (RBI); on an assumed ₹15 crore cash credit, +0.25% is ₹3.75 lakh a year. Cushion: know the drawing-power terms and clear aged stock before the stock statement. See working capital stuck on the floor.
A domestic brand pays past the MSMED limit (₹5–30 lakh, Mama's estimate). ₹5 crore held 60 extra days at 10.5% cash-credit interest costs ₹8.6 lakh. Cushion: an MSMED Act s.15–16 notice (interest at three times the RBI bank rate), TReDS, then MSME Samadhaan.
Power and fuel tariff hike (₹3–15 lakh a year, Mama's estimate). In ASI 2023-24, fuels consumed were 1.88% of output in apparel (NIC 141) but 8.04% in spinning, weaving and finishing (NIC 131) (MoSPI, ASI 2023-24): a processing house feels a hike about four times harder. Cushion: move stenter and dryer runs to solar hours and review contract demand.
Four to insure and prepare for
A brand cancels a confirmed order (₹20–75 lakh, Mama's estimate). In a 2020 survey of 316 Bangladesh suppliers, 45.8% said a lot or most of their nearly or fully completed orders were cancelled (CGWR and WRC, "Abandoned?"). Cushion: signed cancellation terms before booking fabric, and no buyer filling most lines.
A cotton or yarn spike on fixed-price orders (₹20–150 lakh, Mama's estimate). CAI's spot rate for Gujarat ICS-105, 29 mm, was ₹68,300 a candy on 16 Oct 2026 (CAI). Cushion: book yarn for confirmed orders only. See yarn and greige stock.
A competitor gets a tariff edge (₹45–150 lakh, Mama's estimate). The same memo directs the USTR to set up tariff-rate quotas for Bangladesh, Cambodia, Indonesia and Malaysia. Cushion: chase the UK, where Indian garments have entered at 0% since 15 Jul 2026 (the India-UK deal).
A buyer goes insolvent with garments unpaid (₹25–375 lakh, Mama's estimate). Cushion: export credit insurance, and no open-credit shipments once a brand stretches payment.
What cameras can and cannot tell you here
Mama's register marks 26 of the 55 risks where video can help. All 26 are floor risks; none of the 10 outside the gate is.
The help falls into four kinds. Cameras can show stock where it should not be: cartons in an exit path, bales against godown doors, rolls left on a flood-prone floor, extinguishers blocked. They can count time and numbers: changeover time per line, machines waiting for a mechanic, hours lost in a power cut, and how many people are on each line (a number, not who) after a festival or against the licence. They can show work at the wrong hour, such as packing after 7 p.m. And after an event they show where it started, for the insurer.
They cannot read a wage slip, a consent form or a test report, judge wiring, read an extinguisher gauge or tell whether a door is locked. Shade, chemical tests, unpaid job-workers and POSH are among the 29 risks where video does not help. Nor do they replace a fire inspection or the auditor's interviews.
Footage of recognisable workers is personal data under s.2(t) of the DPDP Act, 2023. Tell workers in writing what is recorded and why: see the worker CCTV notice under DPDP.
Where Mama fits
Mama reads the cameras a unit already has and each morning sends the owner a short note on where hours and output leaked yesterday, counting machines, flows and how many people are on each line, never who. Leave an email or phone in the form below.
FAQ
Which garment-factory risks can an owner not control? In Mama's register, 10 of 55: US tariffs, RoSCTL, the rupee, bank rates and drawing power, late-paying brands, power tariffs, order cancellations, cotton and yarn prices, competitors' tariff edges and buyer insolvency. You can only cushion them.
What happens if a garment unit fails a SMETA audit? There is no pass or fail. Findings go into a corrective action plan with deadlines of immediate, 30, 60 or 90 days, and the buyer decides what happens to orders.
Can women work night shifts in a garment factory in India? Yes. OSH Code s.43 allows work before 6 a.m. and after 7 p.m. with consent, subject to conditions the state prescribes, such as transport and lighting.
What is the turnover rate in Indian garment factories? The Labour Bureau gives a separation rate of 11.94% for directly employed regular workers in wearing apparel in 2021-22, and 16.41% in 2019-20 (Indian Labour Statistics 2022-23, Table 6.4(a)).
Does a standard fire policy pay wages during a shutdown? The New India Bharat Laghu wording excludes "loss of income or wages or earnings" as consequential loss. Ask about separate cover.